Client Portals

ARTICLES

Written by Max & John Osbon

Weekly Articles by Osbon Capital Management:

Stalemate Investing, Positively

January and Onward

Jan 15, 2020 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Most years start the same way. Investors look closely at the price action during the first day, week or month of the new year. No matter which way investments go, price action in the first month is a poor indicator of future returns. Then there are politics, threats of violence around the world, and earnings reports to consider. Declaring an investing stalemate and doing nothing or going to cas...

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A Fantastic Investment Story

Bill Browder’s Russian Capitalism Saga

Jan 8, 2020 - Max Osbon ( 7 mins to read)

Red Notice is the incredible story of Bill Browder’s bold journey from young American investor to the largest foreign investor in Russia. This success made him a personal enemy of Russia’s most dangerous oligarchs and public officials. The details are unbelievable and the lessons valuable. The first half of the book focuses on how Bill’s intuition and curiosity led him to a 10,000% return via a...

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Get State Owned Enterprises Out of Emerging Markets

Dec 31, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Emerging markets are an important asset class that include major countries with massive populations like China and India. Emerging market investments have been accessible for decades, but they’ve often included state-owned enterprise (SOE) holdings — whether you’ve wanted them or not. Maybe you didn’t. State Owned Enterprises are notoriously inefficient, often conflicted and sometimes even over...

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Individual Securities Vs. Indexes: Investing’s biggest competition

Dec 24, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Nothing is more central to our economy than competition. Competition rewards innovation, smart investments and cost control. We see competition between local restaurants and between global giants like Amazon and FedEx. We also see — and benefit from — competition between divergent ideas and business methods. In the investment world, the competition between stock pickers and indexers has been ra...

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The Simple Power of a Favor

From time to time, we write about things that have nothing to do with investing...

Dec 18, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Favors are magic. They solve problems and open doors. They demonstrate loyalty and interest. They strengthen relationships. Simple favors can mean so much for the receiver, but they can also pay huge dividends for the sender. Earlier this year a friend of mine, Alyssa O'Toole, a local entrepreneur who runs Musicians Playground, asked me to take a look into her business to see what can be imp...

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Small Stocks for Big Gains

Dec 10, 2019 - John Osbon ( 6 mins to read)

As we enter the final month of the final year of the decade, investors face the eternal question: how much should I have in stocks at this point? As a start on that answer, we must acknowledge that thinking about stocks as one asset class really is an oversimplification. I suggest we look first at a subset of the stock universe that is generally considered the highest potential return element o...

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The Big Debt Crisis Article

Dec 3, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 8 mins to read)

Without debt, the majority of people would never be able to own a home. Companies would struggle to build data centers and manufacturing plants. Governments wouldn’t be able to build subway systems, hospitals or highways. No debt means no growth. Still, there are limits. Too much debt, poorly managed, leads to disasters. With this in mind, Ray Dalio and his firm Bridgewater published a massive ...

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Thank You & Gratitude

Nov 26, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 2 mins to read)

In an age of abundance, the communal practice of giving thanks is something to be grateful for in and of itself. Taking the time to give thanks is an opportunity for a perspective reset. It allows us to step beyond whatever challenge-du-jour we have faced and step into a place of empathy and connection. Often caught up in our efforts to continually improve and progress, Thanksgiving offers a welcome reminder to take a step back and truly acknowledge the people,…

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Demographics Are Fundamental To Investing

Check the basics on the people behind your portfolio

Nov 20, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

Andy Kessler wrote a great WSJ article on Monday about China and demographics, called “Old Age Will Put China To Rest”. It made me remember how excited we were at Morgan Stanley 35 years ago when we started to collect demographic data outside the United States. Today, in 2019, our access to demographic data has grown exponentially. It's important we use it. Better Data Access Demographic data...

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