Client Portals

John Osbon's posts

Weekly Articles by Osbon Capital Management:

Buying Signs In An Uncertain World

Imagine the Unthinkable

Mar 25, 2020 - John Osbon ( 8 mins to read)

Since we have a large amount of cash in client accounts it’s natural that we are looking for signs of when to buy again. It’s important that these signs are real and measurable. There are currently 25 indicators on our internal list in 5 different categories and the list is growing daily. In this article I will mention the major event in each category since those are the ones none of us has exp...

READ MORE ›

Turbulence Expected or Unexpected

Preparation and strategy prevails

Mar 11, 2020 - John Osbon ( 6 mins to read)

This week we are writing about new developments in Covid-19 and worldwide markets, as there are many. Covid-19 is negatively affecting markets this week because of the uncertainty about when new outbreaks will stop. Over the weekend, a new market – oil – was significantly affected by an oil war between Russia and Saudi Arabia. Additionally, rates in the US, the highest of any developed market, ...

READ MORE ›

When Experts Disagree

Warren Buffett Pulls His Punch

Feb 26, 2020 - John Osbon ( 7 mins to read)

For the last two months it seems all we have heard about is disagreement. I am not talking about political disagreement. I am referring to investment disagreements and convincing opposing arguments put forth by experts I read, with mixed signals in the markets as well. Here is a list of the six main points of disagreement and what we are doing about them. Six Points of Disagreement 1. Are...

READ MORE ›

Overruling Yourself

Learn From Your Failures

Feb 11, 2020 - John Osbon ( 6 mins to read)

Last week the coronavirus overtook SARS in the number of deaths. The impeachment process was impugned by both sides. The Iowa voting was bungled. Party politics are more divisive and meaner than ever. In other words, we’re surrounded by a large field of negativity right now. Given this fact of life in 2020, how should investors respond to the barrage of bad news? Markets don’t seem to be reacti...

READ MORE ›

More Spending, No Recession

Consumers Rule the Economy

Jan 22, 2020 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

Investors are always on the lookout for the next recession, because a recession can slow down or reverse portfolio appreciation for a year or two. Moreover, a recession reveals a lot of investment mistakes which no one likes to be reminded of. Here are three measures to look at when trying to determine if a recession is coming and if any portfolio adjustments may be needed. More money in con...

READ MORE ›

Stalemate Investing, Positively

January and Onward

Jan 15, 2020 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Most years start the same way. Investors look closely at the price action during the first day, week or month of the new year. No matter which way investments go, price action in the first month is a poor indicator of future returns. Then there are politics, threats of violence around the world, and earnings reports to consider. Declaring an investing stalemate and doing nothing or going to cas...

READ MORE ›

Get State Owned Enterprises Out of Emerging Markets

Dec 31, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Emerging markets are an important asset class that include major countries with massive populations like China and India. Emerging market investments have been accessible for decades, but they’ve often included state-owned enterprise (SOE) holdings — whether you’ve wanted them or not. Maybe you didn’t. State Owned Enterprises are notoriously inefficient, often conflicted and sometimes even over...

READ MORE ›

Individual Securities Vs. Indexes: Investing’s biggest competition

Dec 24, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Nothing is more central to our economy than competition. Competition rewards innovation, smart investments and cost control. We see competition between local restaurants and between global giants like Amazon and FedEx. We also see — and benefit from — competition between divergent ideas and business methods. In the investment world, the competition between stock pickers and indexers has been ra...

READ MORE ›

Small Stocks for Big Gains

Dec 10, 2019 - John Osbon ( 6 mins to read)

As we enter the final month of the final year of the decade, investors face the eternal question: how much should I have in stocks at this point? As a start on that answer, we must acknowledge that thinking about stocks as one asset class really is an oversimplification. I suggest we look first at a subset of the stock universe that is generally considered the highest potential return element o...

READ MORE ›