Client Portals

John Osbon's posts

Weekly Articles by Osbon Capital Management:

Not All Bad News Is Created Equal

Apr 23, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

This week is a major earnings week. If you follow business news it’s quite likely you are going to hear the term “earnings recession” this week. If you do, please immediately remind yourself that an earnings recession is not the same thing as an economic recession. There’s no reason to panic over this R word. Let’s take a closer look at the details for a better perspective. The other kind of recession An earnings recession is defined as two consecutive…

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The Devil’s Financial Dictionary

Apr 15, 2019 - John Osbon ( 7 mins to read)

Long time financial writer Jason Zweig published The Devil’s Financial Dictionary in 2015. The book is both factual and lighthearted. It’s easy to see our personal weaknesses in Zweig’s Dictionary. He says that the definitions are “mostly true.” He also uses a red dollar sign to flag things that may not be technically true, but still say something about the industry. I have been reading the Dictionary for several weeks and have picked out a few favorites for you to…

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Investing With Retirement in Mind

Apr 9, 2019 - John Osbon ( 6 mins to read)

A quick check of the top news stories over the weekend showed four prominent articles about retirement – how to retire, figuring out if you have enough, what to do if you are stuck, and so on. Apparently, retirement is on the minds of many investors, young and old. This news focus reminded me that retirement investing is a lifelong endeavor. It’s a good idea to invest early and as if you are going to retire soon, even if you…

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4 Ways To Maintain A Focus On The Long Term

Mar 20, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

As the first quarter nears an end the inevitable question arises, “How long can the strong Q1 returns go on?” Amid the uncertainty we see many investors holding cash with little interest in taking on risk. This cautious approach means safety in the short term, but perhaps at a big loss of opportunity for the long term. Here are four ways to maintain a long-term focus following the first quarter’s sharp and unexpected advance. Ignore the “I don’t want to…

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Invest Like A Conservative

Mar 6, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

When a recent new client signed on with Osbon Capital, he described himself as "a conservative investor.” Because that phrase can mean different things to different people, it was important to discuss what that meant to this individual. What is the goal of conservative investing? What does it look like in practice? What would a conservative investor invest in now? And so on. The discussion inspired me to tackle the topic for this week’s article.

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A Look At Business Cycle Confidence

Feb 20, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

The business cycle has gone onward and upward for ten years. That has meant positive returns for investors in equities, debt and real estate alike. The question of when it ends seems to be a perennial question. It's a question that we hear often from clients, prospects, friends and family. Headlines can be particularly unhelpful as their news model is often reliant on triggering emotional reactions for clicks. To us, it doesn’t look like the cycle ends anytime soon. Here…

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A Late Stage Market Melt-UP

Feb 6, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Without doubt the investment year is off to a great start. The stock market in the US is up 8%. January’s return is the best one since 1987. The way things are going we could see a repeat of 2013, one of the best diversified return years ever. What is going right and what could go wrong? Why January is strong January’s stock and bond market returns are strong due to fundamentals. Stock valuations are fairly cheap, earnings are increasing…

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House, Home or Investment?

Jan 30, 2019 - John Osbon ( 6 mins to read)

We have made comments before about investing in real estate. This week our entire article is devoted to investment real estate. The goal of allocating money to real estate is largely the same as putting money into stocks. The investor wants growth and income. The similarities end there.

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Information Shutdown

Jan 16, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

The government shutdown is now entering its fourth week, cutting off a large source of useful information for investors. How are investors supposed to keep track of what is going on financially and economically without government statistics? It’s our job to work around difficult situations. Here is what we, and investors, can count on during an information drought.

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