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Weekly Articles by Osbon Capital Management:

Consensus Is Rare

Disagreement is essential for functional markets

Oct 15, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

It’s difficult to get a broad idea across in one headline. When it is done in the investment media, the bias almost always skews negative, mostly for dramatic effect. If all indicators were bad, everyone would want to sell and there would be no buyers. With positive consensus, on the other hand, there would be no sellers. A broad and balanced take on the market, with both positives and negative...

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Free Is Not Free

Why You Should Be Skeptical When Prices Drop to Zero

Oct 7, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 7 mins to read)

Schwab made the headlines last week when the company announced it was cutting its trading commissions to $0. While this may seem like a great deal and an obvious win for consumers, there is more to the story and cause to be dubious. Specifically, if Schwab earns nothing via buying and selling securities for its clients, then how does it actually make money? It’s a question worth asking. Let’s f...

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100-Year Bonds for the United States

Better to Issue Than to Own

Sep 3, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

The US Treasury has been considering issuing 100-year bonds for some time. Based on recent comments by the US Treasury Secretary this may actually happen this year. These are unusual monetary times that allow the government to lower its financing costs. But what are the implications for US individual investors? Do bonds due in 2120 make sense for you? Current long-term rates in the US For exp...

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The Almighty Dollar

Dollar Strength Benefits Investors

Aug 26, 2019 - John Osbon ( 4 mins to read)

Heading into the final third of the investment year there are few sure things for investors to count on. One sure thing, however, is the US dollar. It has been appreciating slightly for years, and has been strong even though the US economy would be doing better with a slightly weaker dollar. Why do we believe dollar strength will persist? The only game in town The major currencies competing f...

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Our Favorite Theories, Principles and Laws Named After Famous Thinkers

What Can We Learn From Eponymous Laws?

Aug 13, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 9 mins to read)

This week we decided to have some fun by exploring our favorite eponymous laws, theories and principles and how they fit into the world of investing. This is a list I’ve been wanting to write for a while, at least since I discovered Sayre’s law two years ago. The fantastic thing about these observed laws is that they are based on real people’s experiences, cultivated over a lifetime of work and...

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Steps To Prepare The Next Generation For Wealth

Jul 30, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

Wealthy families often find themselves debating how to best approach the subject of family wealth with their children. The hesitation tends to center around how to share information about wealth while maintaining motivation and instilling the values of hard work and responsibility. What's the right age? What's the right level of detail? Where should you start? Here are steps you can take right ...

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A History Lesson from Ray Dalio

A look into the past investment decades and where we are today

Jul 24, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

Ray Dalio published his “Paradigm Shifts” on July 17. I recommend it for any investor who wants an intelligent, dispassionate history of investing broken down by decade. Ray Dalio and Bridgewater, the hedge fund he founded, have the money and the track record to back up his assertions. Is another paradigm shift happening now? What does Ray Dalio have to say about paradigms? Dalio says that “u...

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The Just-In-Time Economy

Jul 10, 2019 - Max Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

In recent weeks we’ve been writing about productivity and what it means for the economy and market performance. One key ingredient in productivity for many firms is the just-in-time production model. Some forward-thinking people believe that just-in-time businesses will smooth out or even eventually eliminate recessions. They have a good point. Just in time – the practice of optimally deliverin...

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Our Favorite Tools For Personal Payments and Cash Flow

The Latest Providers We Use To Make Payments Easy, Modern and Painless

May 28, 2019 - John Osbon ( 5 mins to read)

When it comes to paying for goods and services you have many choices these days. The least attractive (besides the quickly disappearing handwritten check) is physical cash, even for small purchases. Over time it has simply become easier to make purchases without paper or coins. In the post-cash era, new payment providers and startups are fighting to gain users and credibility. That means lots o...

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