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At times during the last two weeks, it’s seemed that the investment world has been spinning on its head. It can make you feel like everything has changed. But has it? First of all, did your goals change in the last two weeks?  Possibly, but probably not. No matter what happens in the stock market day to day, most investors…

All eyes, some red with market fatigue, are on the Dow and other benchmarks. After 10 days of staggering declines, I imagine there are still many investors with their fingers poised on the panic button, ready at the next sign of trouble to get out of stocks. Many have left the party already. Nobody wants to own stocks right now.

Last week, some readers expressed surprise that stocks, as represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, had outperformed gold over the last 40 years. In that timeframe gold is up 45x while the Dow rose from 888 to 12,600 – a 14x return.  Nice, but not the 53x we attributed to the Dow. What gives?

Last week I talked about faith-based investing as represented by the $9 trillion US Treasury securities market, and the promise to repay backed by the “full faith and credit” of the United States government.  This week I would like to note the 40th birthday of a faith-based investment that dwarfs the Treasury market in size: the dollar.

I can hardly wait for Wednesday morning, August 3rd.  By that date at the latest we will know what Congress has decided to do about raising the United States debt limit. The “full faith and credit” of the United States and its AAA rating are at stake. We are all waiting to know what will Congress do and how. Will…

A lengthy Barron’s article by Gene Epstein over the weekend calls for $150/barrel oil in the next 12 months.  As one of the 8 most important prices in the world, the tab for oil can have a profound impact on business performance, economic growth, and the risk and return of investment portfolios.   So what happens if the Barron’s prediction is…

Modern Western theatre as we know it is said to have originated 2600 years ago in Athens, with Thespis as the first winner of a theatrical contest.  The world could use an orator like him now to explain to the unhappy masses what an awful economic mess they are in.  How will they get out? We have four examples to…

Last week, Bloomberg LP convened its first Money Managers Conference in Boston to explore the topic: Preparing for the Next Black Swans. The conference brought together 25 professional money managers before an audience of investment professionals and journalists (and a live stream to 300,000 terminals) to consider “strategies should the unthinkable happen.”  Last week I wrote about my own panel…

John Osbon of Osbon Capital will be a panelist at The Bloomberg Money Managers Conference in Boston on June 14. The conference, titled “Preparing for the Next Black Swans,” focuses on the impact of major unexpected events that can send markets reeling. The conference brings together top money managers for a candid exchange of ideas on future Black Swans. What’s…